Causality analysis between climatic factors and dengue fever using the Granger causality
Dengue
is a mosquito-bome tropical disease caused by one of the four serotypes
of dengue virus. There are about 2,5 billion people living in endemic
areas. The potential influence of environmental and climatic factors on
the transmission of mosquito-bome diseases are expected in many
situations but the exact real influences of climatic variables remain
uncertain in most of the cases. In the present study, we applied the
Granger causality to analyze the relation between climatic variables and
the monthly incidences of dengue syndromes in Vietnam for 64 provinces
from 1994 to 2010. The experimental results shows a close relationship
between climatic factors and dengue incidence in each province and their
neighbourhoods.
Title:
| Causality analysis between climatic factors and dengue fever using the Granger causality | |
| Authors: | Hoang, P.N. Daniel Zucker, J. Choisy, M. Vinh, H.T. |
| Keywords: | climatic drivers dengue fever Granger causality Vietnam |
| Issue Date: | 2016 |
| Publisher: | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. |
| Citation: | Scopus |
| Abstract: | Dengue is a mosquito-bome tropical disease caused by one of the four serotypes of dengue virus. There are about 2,5 billion people living in endemic areas. The potential influence of environmental and climatic factors on the transmission of mosquito-bome diseases are expected in many situations but the exact real influences of climatic variables remain uncertain in most of the cases. In the present study, we applied the Granger causality to analyze the relation between climatic variables and the monthly incidences of dengue syndromes in Vietnam for 64 provinces from 1994 to 2010. The experimental results shows a close relationship between climatic factors and dengue incidence in each province and their neighbourhoods. |
| Description: | 2016 IEEE RIVF International Conference on Computing and Communication Technologies: Research, Innovation, and Vision for the Future, RIVF 2016 - Proceedings 27 December 2016, Article number 7800268, Pages 49-54 |
| URI: | http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/7800268/ http://repository.vnu.edu.vn/handle/VNU_123/32598 |
| ISBN: | 978-150904133-6 |
| Appears in Collections: | Bài báo của ĐHQGHN trong Scopus |
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